Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
OPE
3 - 0
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
REA
0 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
JWI
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
BLO
3 - 0
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 5
BLO
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
39%
26%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
AUR
2 - 1
REA
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
JWI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
JWI
1 - 1
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |