Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
15º
13º
31
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 45 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 35 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROY
3 - 3
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 2
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
3 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAC
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
FLA
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
ABB
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |