Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
OPE
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JWI
1 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BOL
4 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
BOL
8%
16%
76%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 5
BOL
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 1
CMV
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROY
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |