Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 2
RPO
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
BLO
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RPO
1 - 3
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 0
BLO
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 1
STR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 2
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |