Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
STR
4 - 0
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RPO
3 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 3
UNI
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 0
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
BOL
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BLO
2 - 0
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |