GSD Ghiviborgo vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2064%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
18º
9º
31
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSD Ghiviborgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 3
GGV
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GGV
1 - 2
ORV
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GGV
0 - 0
SIE
18%
23%
60%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
GGV
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GGV
2 - 0
SDT
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +8 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USP
2 - 1
SDT
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
USP
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
USP
1 - 2
OST
74%
16%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
USP
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USP
2 - 2
FEZ
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |