GSD Ghiviborgo vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2064%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
18º
9º
22
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSD Ghiviborgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FUL
2 - 3
GGV
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GGV
2 - 5
GAV
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ACS
5 - 1
GGV
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GGV
3 - 0
ASF
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +6 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 1
GGV
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 2
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
OST
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SDT
1 - 0
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 0
SPO
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |