Ambrosiana vs Vigor Carpaneto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
CNO
0 - 2
GSD
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GSD
1 - 6
MAN
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ROV
1 - 0
GSD
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GSD
6 - 1
LIV
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 1
GSD
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
USD
2 - 2
SAM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUT
0 - 0
USD
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
USD
2 - 3
ACS
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
USD
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
USD
1 - 1
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |