GD Varandinha vs SC Morabeza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GD Varandinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 0
GDV
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GDV
2 - 3
BAR
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
GDV
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GDV
2 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
GDV
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Morabeza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
BAR
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SCM
2 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
SCM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
SCM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCM
1 - 1
GDV
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |