Grünstern vs Timau Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
7 - 1
GRU
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
GRU
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
4 - 1
MUT
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
3 - 1
GRU
65%
17%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 3
BER
37%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Timau Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIM
3 - 1
LER
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MUT
2 - 3
TIM
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TIM
5 - 2
BUM
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BER
4 - 3
TIM
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TIM
1 - 0
ALL
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |