Grünstern vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
GRU
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 6
SEC
12%
18%
71%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
5 - 0
GRU
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
TPA
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
ECH
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
THI
6 - 1
FAR
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COL
3 - 2
THI
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
THI
1 - 2
ECH
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
THI
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
POR
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |