Grünstern vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAC
5 - 1
GRU
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COL
6 - 0
GRU
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
3 - 1
GUM
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
GRU
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
STA
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THI
3 - 1
OST
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TPA
2 - 0
THI
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THI
2 - 0
LYS
71%
16%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
THI
4 - 3
COL
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
THI
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |