Grünstern vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
66.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
3 - 1
GRU
65%
17%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 3
BER
37%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ALL
8 - 0
GRU
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
GRU
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 4
MAR
71%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MUT
1 - 2
LER
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 0
MUT
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BUM
2 - 3
MUT
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 4
MUT
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MUT
4 - 1
CON
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |