Grünstern vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
5 - 0
GRU
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 3
TIM
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
7 - 1
GRU
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LER
3 - 0
GRU
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
4 - 1
MUT
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MUT
0 - 0
MOU
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
5 - 1
BUM
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BER
5 - 2
MOU
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 1
ALL
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |