Grünstern vs Marly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
LYS
1 - 2
GRU
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 1
POR
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOC
3 - 0
GRU
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
GRU
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 2
THI
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Marly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
FAR
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
ECH
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
BER
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
MAR
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |