Grünstern vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
79.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 4
ALL
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUT
5 - 1
GRU
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 0
BUM
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
GRU
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 3
BIN
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LER
3 - 0
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LER
2 - 1
MUT
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BUM
2 - 5
LER
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LER
2 - 1
BER
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LER
0 - 1
ALL
46%
22%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |