Grünstern vs La Tour / Le Pâquier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
ECH
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
FAR
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 1
STA
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
GRU
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
LYS
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
TPA
2 - 1
LOC
57%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TPA
2 - 4
POR
21%
22%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 1
TPA
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
TPA
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 1
THI
38%
25%
37%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |