Grünstern vs Farvagny / Ogoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
OST
0 - 5
GRU
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 2
TPA
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LYS
1 - 2
GRU
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
THI
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAC
5 - 1
GRU
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Farvagny / Ogoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
FAR
60%
20%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
OST
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
THI
5 - 0
FAR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TPA
1 - 1
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
LYS
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |