Grünstern vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MOU
3 - 0
GRU
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 4
LAN
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TIM
4 - 3
GRU
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 6
FCP
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 1
LER
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 0
LER
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MUT
4 - 1
DOR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DOR
5 - 2
BUM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BER
0 - 0
DOR
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ALL
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |