Grünstern vs Colombier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ECH
0 - 1
GRU
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
COL
31%
23%
45%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GUM
4 - 3
GRU
41%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 3
BER
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
STA
3 - 1
GRU
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
FAR
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
COL
31%
23%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
FAR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
OST
4 - 1
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
TPA
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |