Grünstern vs Bulle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BUM
4 - 1
GRU
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
GRU
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
FAR
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
OST
0 - 5
GRU
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRU
3 - 2
TPA
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BUL
0 - 0
FAR
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OST
3 - 2
BUL
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BUL
1 - 0
TPA
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LYS
0 - 3
BUL
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BUL
3 - 2
THI
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |