Grunbach vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
GRU
3 - 0
BAL
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRU
1 - 1
STU
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KEH
3 - 2
GRU
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
1 - 0
NOT
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 0
VFR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
4 - 1
BAH
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 0
HOL
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |