Grunbach vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REU
0 - 3
GRU
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 2
GRU
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GRU
5 - 1
RAV
68%
18%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
KEH
2 - 0
GRU
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GRU
2 - 0
BRU
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
VFR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 2
FRE
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 4
STU
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 3
HEI
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
REU
1 - 4
FRE
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |