Grunbach vs Astoria Walldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 4
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
GRU
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 1
KSC
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
STU
0 - 1
GRU
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Astoria Walldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AST
2 - 0
VFR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 4
AST
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
BAH
55%
23%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 4
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
HOL
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |