Grün-Weiß Micheldorf vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
15º
9º
45
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WEA
3 - 0
GRU
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GRU
3 - 1
STM
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PWD
0 - 2
GRU
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GRU
2 - 3
SBL
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UNP
4 - 3
GRU
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
OST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
6 - 2
SBL
68%
16%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 4
OST
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
OST
3 - 1
BAD
44%
21%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 2
OST
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |