Grumellese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PON
3 - 0
GRU
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PON
1 - 1
GRU
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 0
DCA
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CRE
2 - 0
GRU
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 1
PRO
25%
25%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VBE
3 - 1
ROM
87%
10%
4%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
REZ
0 - 1
VBE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
1 - 0
VBE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |