Grumellese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 2
GRU
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 3
GRU
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 1
SCA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 2
FAN
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 1
ASS
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
VBE
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VBE
1 - 2
DAR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 2
VBE
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VBE
3 - 1
DCA
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |