Grumellese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
GRU
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
GRU
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 1
SER
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VBE
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 2
VBE
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 0
PON
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |