Grumellese vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 2
GRU
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
SCA
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 1
GRU
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 2
ACL
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
GRU
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
REZ
5 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
LEC
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 0
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PSM
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |