Grumellese vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OLG
4 - 2
GRU
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
VBE
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 1
GRU
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
LEC
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
GRU
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
INV
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
INV
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
INV
4 - 0
MAP
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 3
INV
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
INV
0 - 0
FIO
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |