Grumellese vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 1
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
GRU
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 2
LEV
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TRE
3 - 2
GRU
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
PER
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 2
ROM
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
REZ
0 - 3
DAR
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
LEC
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 3
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 0
LEV
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |