Grumellese vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
GRU
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 0
ROM
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 0
GRU
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
GRU
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 0
DAR
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 1
ROM
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 1
CRE
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
LEC
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 4
LEV
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
4 - 2
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |