Grumellese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ACL
1 - 2
GRU
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
3 - 0
GRU
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
0 - 3
PON
22%
23%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 1
ROM
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 2
CIS
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
LEC
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
3 - 0
CIS
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |