Grulla Morioka vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grulla Morioka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
RYK
4 - 2
GRU
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
TOK
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VEG
2 - 5
GRU
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GRU
4 - 0
WUF
80%
14%
5%
|
48 | 8 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
3 - 3
GRU
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HON
1 - 2
SON
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AZU
0 - 1
HON
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
HON
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GIF
1 - 2
HON
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
HON
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |