Grue vs Kongsvinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
GIL
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
KON
5 - 2
VIN
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
KON
2 - 1
ELV
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BOG
8 - 0
KON
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KON
1 - 1
VAR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
KON
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |