Grossbardorf vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
FEU
3 - 0
GRO
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 4
MEM
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
UNT
0 - 1
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
FCP
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TSV
3 - 1
GRO
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
7 - 1
ISM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
QUF
2 - 7
NUR
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAD
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
WUR
0 - 1
NUR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
NUR
3 - 0
WAC
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |