Grossbardorf vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 3
GRO
24%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
ERB
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AUB
0 - 1
GRO
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 0
ELT
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AMB
2 - 1
GRO
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 1
AMM
22%
22%
55%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOL
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
AHA
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MEM
1 - 0
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 2
JRE
22%
23%
56%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |