Grossbardorf vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AHA
1 - 0
GRO
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 2
ANS
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NEU
0 - 1
GRO
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ELT
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 0
GRO
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ERL
2 - 1
ERB
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 2
ERL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ERL
1 - 2
VIK
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ERL
1 - 0
WUR
44%
24%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
ERL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |