Grossbardorf vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
5 - 4
GRO
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 4
FCP
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ANS
2 - 1
GRO
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GRO
3 - 3
WEI
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MEM
2 - 2
GRO
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
FUR
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 2
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
JRE
5 - 0
BAY
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 2
TSV
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |