Grorud IL vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
14º
6º
30
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 55 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 49 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 47 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 44 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 19 |
12º
|
99.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 10 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 8 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 2
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
GRO
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GRO
8 - 0
GJO
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
GRO
57%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 0
GJO
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 1
TRO
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IKJ
3 - 4
FOL
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 2
EID
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |