Grorud IL vs Aalesunds FK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
5º
23
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 0
GRO
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 0
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
ALT
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
HON
5 - 2
GRO
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 2
GRO
30%
22%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aalesunds FK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AAL
2 - 0
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 0
AAL
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPJ
1 - 1
AAL
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 2
VFC
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FLO
0 - 2
AAL
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |