Groene Ster vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groene Ster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 2
QUI
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
DTO
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 0
JVC
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 3
MEE
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
UDI
3 - 2
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
LIS
3 - 2
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
TER
0 - 2
LIS
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 0
LIS
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LIS
2 - 0
TGR
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
RIJ
2 - 3
LIS
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |