Groene Ster vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groene Ster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 1
UDI
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 0
GRO
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
5 - 1
RKS
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
EHC
0 - 0
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 0
RVU
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
HAR
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
WHC
1 - 2
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 2
PKC
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 0
ONS
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |