Grodnensky vs Oshmyany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
3º
1º
0
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
3 | 6 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 6 |
2º
|
1.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 6 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 2 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 2 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 0 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grodnensky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OSH
3 - 5
GRO
56%
18%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 5
NEB
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
GRO
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
NEM
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
GRO
72%
15%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oshmyany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OSH
3 - 5
GRO
56%
18%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OSH
3 - 4
SMO
38%
21%
42%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
3 - 0
OSH
51%
19%
29%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OSH
2 - 3
DYA
22%
18%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
OSH
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |