Grodnensky vs Neman Belkard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
12º
14º
28
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grodnensky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
3 - 1
GRO
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
NEM
31%
21%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 1
GRO
72%
15%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
2 - 3
GRO
47%
21%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
5 - 0
GRO
75%
14%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neman Belkard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NEB
4 - 2
NEM
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 5
NEB
27%
19%
54%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CHZ
0 - 2
NEB
11%
14%
75%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 0
NEB
26%
19%
55%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
NEB
4 - 0
FKS
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |