Grödig vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
WAT
0 - 2
GRO
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 0
SPG
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 3
GRO
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
AXG
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FCH
1 - 2
GRO
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
SEE
1 - 2
HAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 1
WAT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
SPG
1 - 2
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 2
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
AXG
3 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |