Grobiņa vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
9º
6º
26
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
62 | 12 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |