Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
9º
6º
21
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
GRO
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 1
GRO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FSM
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
GRO
4%
8%
88%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 3
AUD
16%
26%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 4
LIE
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |