Grobiņa vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
9º
9º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 6
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 2
FKJ
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 0
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |