Grimsby Town vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
GRI
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 2
GRI
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GRI
2 - 0
GAT
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 0
GRI
25%
27%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 2
KID
51%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 3
EBB
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TAM
2 - 2
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
KID
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
HAY
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |